let's tell the future
let's see how it's been done
by numbers by mirrors by water
by dots made at random on paper
I see that Pierre Bourque has got me listed as one of these new media thingamabloggers, so I'd better get down to some prognosticatin' or whatever it is that we're supposed to do.
My heart says Conservative majority; my head says Conservative minority. Liquified deep within my bowels is the consideration that Martin will parlay his disgraceful campaign of fear and smear into a Liberal minority.
How's that for covering all the bases and/or organs? For what it's worth, I predicted a Conservative minority last time. That didn't turn out too well. On the other hand, I correctly foretold George Bush's reelection.
So this is the rubber match. I'll step out on a limb and call a slim Conservative majority (155-160 seats), and you can take that to the bank. What your banker will make of it is anybody's guess, but that'll be his problem, won't it?
Comments (4)
Wait, some more commentary please! Why do you make this prediction? Is it purely out of hope or do you know something of election predicting we don't?
Posted by Jonathan | January 22, 2006 8:38 PM
Posted on January 22, 2006 20:38
Nope. Just a hunch. That, and a very motivated Conservative base and a very dispirited Liberal one.
Posted by gnotalex | January 22, 2006 8:58 PM
Posted on January 22, 2006 20:58
I've been thinking that the polls aren't getting it right this time. I agree that the Tory seat numbers could very well give them a majority.
Posted by Dave | January 22, 2006 9:24 PM
Posted on January 22, 2006 21:24
I always get scared so close to the big day, people have been so uneasy with change in the past. I can only hope that this time the follow through with yesterday's thoughts and not chicken out in the booth. Canada truly needs a consvative anything (minority or majority.) At least give them a chance to show what they have got!
Posted by Dallas | January 22, 2006 10:04 PM
Posted on January 22, 2006 22:04